Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 9.805523 11.338054 12.980411 14.865561 16.963578 19.220782 21.826732
2025-06-15 7.919612 9.926110 12.211143 14.986074 18.243860 21.925981 26.380092
2025-06-22 6.527000 8.772826 11.466584 14.894797 19.097698 24.037196 30.232494
2025-06-29 5.615349 8.028265 11.056278 15.066857 20.164691 26.350631 34.338700
2025-07-06 4.910883 7.430402 10.724391 15.244784 21.174743 28.570748 38.360078
2025-07-13 4.442622 7.073420 10.640491 15.689745 22.495647 31.184263 42.925027
2025-07-20 4.005064 6.696840 10.475171 15.980824 23.589984 33.512560 47.173483
2025-07-27 3.545608 6.228280 10.125980 15.969462 24.243577 35.254831 50.685371
2025-08-03 2.989430 5.543467 9.395857 15.349679 23.998128 35.753986 52.531880
2025-08-10 2.612300 5.092781 8.964478 15.114061 24.251779 36.905986 55.255646
2025-08-17 2.262111 4.642013 8.487695 14.764931 24.303123 37.753841 57.561039
2025-08-24 1.994892 4.299205 8.146717 14.588648 24.580575 38.906290 60.297825
2025-08-31 1.721079 3.912420 7.702645 14.222245 24.555296 39.627110 62.458367
2025-09-07 1.561987 3.717847 7.560458 14.321797 25.231999 41.372802 66.112500
2025-09-14 1.390080 3.475530 7.312781 14.226631 25.591921 42.652300 69.116754
2025-09-21 1.275218 3.332408 7.226197 14.389411 26.356138 44.546118 73.054338
2025-09-28 1.172939 3.201813 7.149584 14.559584 27.131340 46.470382 77.075589
2025-10-05 1.112723 3.154247 7.221808 14.987938 28.336285 49.075832 82.164031
2025-10-12 1.039663 3.068313 7.212760 15.268322 29.302582 51.333949 86.777099
2025-10-19 0.941151 2.909830 7.048589 15.257258 29.776737 52.833422 90.270365
2025-10-26 0.794781 2.613137 6.581479 14.659724 29.227633 52.700605 91.259554
2025-11-02 0.699912 2.428380 6.324229 14.432609 29.295184 53.536383 93.744421
2025-11-09 0.606721 2.231279 6.021351 14.096148 29.151420 54.019136 95.680202